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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

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LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU went to Texas and beat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take a top-four place in the race more than to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage in the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions since he went 11 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That contains the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in Together with the roar of all Death Valley awaiting. Can the No. 5 shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as win the wager and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little doubt in Burrows ability . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with one of the getting teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU opponents: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the standard of Burrow florida sits at 33rd. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami about the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his consciousness need to improve he has to get flustered by an opposing line. Auburns according ranks 11th in line yards, and is the finest in the country to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is now 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask his game off. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and also sprained a knee in the match.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to come up big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
Will likely be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who permitted the least amount of first downs. Itll be given an opportunity against a driven Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance is going to be as crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this season going however. Last weekend broke a tackle at the line on his approach into a 88-yard TD run. Despite that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and can be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky match.
If they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going regularly, it places ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out in Death Valley, I do see this game remaining than most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, and Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or something near this against a defense whos proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
Since the staff has relied on them, the Gators defense will wear out with time. Marco Wilson will be the subject against Jefferson or the Chase.
However, I do not expect this until late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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